With history at their fingertips, a number of African nations are aiming high as the 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifiers move into the last round.
Although heavyweights like Tunisia and Morocco have guaranteed their spots, five nations are poised to qualify for the tournament for the first time, if certain conditions are met.
Here’s a breakdown of their chances:
Gabon – Group F
Since they are only one point behind leaders Ivory Coast, who have 20 points, Gabon’s prospects are still alive. They can win both of their remaining games against Burundi and the Gambia. For Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang’s side, the calculation is simple: win both games and pray Ivory Coast slip up. Gabon may celebrate a first-ever World Cup ticket if that were to occur.
Uganda – Group G
With four points behind Algeria, Uganda’s path is more challenging. They play Botswana in their final two games before a huge match in Algiers. The Cranes’ ideal scenario would involve Somalia upsetting Algeria. Uganda might pull off one of the biggest upsets in African qualifying history if they defeat Botswana and then Algeria away.
Cape Verde – Group D
Of all the debut contenders, Cape Verde is perhaps in the best position. With 19 points, they now lead Group D and just need to defeat Libya and Eswatini in their next two games to secure their spot. A win in either match would solidify their ascent in African football by guaranteeing their first appearance at the largest football platform.
Madagascar – Group I
Three points behind leaders Ghana, the Barea of Madagascar still has a lot to fight for. In their last games, they play Comoros and Mali, while Ghana faces Comoros at home and CAR away. Madagascar might be dancing into their first-ever World Cup if Ghana falters and they earn all the points.
Benin Republic – Group C (Outsider’s Chance)
Benin is still discussed even though it isn’t in the top five. Their fate rests on Bafana Bafana losing their remaining two games, since they are now three points behind leaders South Africa. Benin needs to defeat Rwanda and Nigeria as well in order to have any chance; this is no easy feat, but anything is possible in football.
The Bigger Picture
More African representation is now possible thanks to the 2026 World Cup’s expansion to 48 teams, which gives nations that haven’t yet experienced the international spectacle new hope.
Even if the established heavyweights are still the favorites, these last qualifiers are not to be missed because of the potential for debutants like Cape Verde, Gabon, and Madagascar to light up the competition.
